THE CURRENT trend in the cruise ship industry is bigger and more grandiose ships. For sure, there are cruise lines that focus on a smaller, either more luxury or expedition type experience. And for sure, that is also a growing sector, albeit a much smaller one. The subject of this post will confine itself mainly to what I call "mainline" cruising, with ships that carry from just under 1,000 passengers to nearly 6,000. For the most part, I will refer to passenger capacity, rather than gross tonnage, though the latter is certainly a factor in today's industry. These ships generally offer a combination of a good shore itinerary and various onboard entertainment, including amusement parklike attractions and multiple dining venues.
The current trend in the cruise ship industry is bigger and more grandiose ships
THE MEGASHIP trend really began in the late 2,000s, with Royal Caribbean leading the way with its Oasis Class ships. Offering something more than the traditional pools, sundecks and dining venues, these ships offered things like rock climbing walls, waterslides, surf - simulator pools, go-kart tracks and bumper car paviliions, among other things. They also ramped up the dining/entertainment venues, introducing a mall-like atmosphere on the ships. Passenger capacities on these ships were double those of their predecessors approachin 6,000 passengers. They were also physically much larger, often at an average of around 250,000 gross tons. Since then, there have been a growing number of competitors. By 2025, RC will have 9 ships in their two mega classes: Oasis and Icon. Today's biggest cruise ship, the Icon of the Seas was launched at the start of this year, and her sister ship the Star of the Seas, expected to surpass her in size, has a planned launch of August, 2025. Both have passenger capacities of 5,600. Not to be outdone, Europe-based Costa, MSC, and P&O all sport ships today that number among the 10 largest cruise ships in the world. All of these Mega-ships are some of the largest ships in the world by gross tonnage, bigger than many large cargo ships.
“We make a lot more money on them. Ticket revenue and on-board revenue is dramatically higher on larger ships than on smaller, older ships.”
DURING THE 20-year period between 1990 and 2009, the largest cruise ships grew a third longer and almost 2 times in beam. The largest have grown considerably since, particularly in passenger capacity. These "megaships" went from offering a single veranda deck, to offering nearly all decks with verandas.
PERHAPS THE single most relevant factor to the question my title asks, is: is there continued strong demand for these megaships? The data is not crystal clear. A poll done on another blog back about 5 years suggested that about 75% of responders favored smaller ships, as opposed to the 25% who said: "bring it on!" As of October 2024, 32 passenger ships were on order or under construction with a publicly announced size of over 140,000 GT. According to Wikipedia, RCL has three Icon-class cruise ships on order and two options, with expected delivery in 2025, 2026 and 2027, as well as one Oasis-class ship on order for 2028. While exact sizes are not publicly known, RC has previously stated that each new ship will be a little larger than the last. Celebrity Cruises, which is owned by RCI's parent company Royal Caribbean Group, will introduce a 140,600 gross ton Edge-class ship in 2025. This all suggests to me that whether or not they "should" do so, mainline ship lines will continue to introduce megaships.
ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT factor which drives the introduction of megaships is an age old motivator: profit. My research suggests that these huge ships yield more profits for their owners than small ships do. To an extent, that stands to reason, as they are able to pack more paying passengers on these ships, creating economies of scale. A former large cruise line CEO is quoted as noting: “We make a lot more money on them. Ticket revenue and on-board revenue is dramatically higher on larger ships than on smaller, older ships.” So there's that. And that will likely be a substantial driver.
FROM MY personal perspective, a few of the "pros and cons" are:
Large Ships Pros:
- Large variety of entertainment options
- Large variety of dining options
- Kid/family friendly
- Party Atmosphere
Large Ships Cons:
- Higher Fuel costs = (sometimes higher pricing (although other "amenties" offered by some of the smaller ships offset that)
- Generally lower food quality
- Can be crowded at times
- Size can negatively effect itinerary/destinations
- Party Atmosphere
AS MIGHT be expected from a topic like this, many of the so-called "pros and cons" are subjective. I tried to illustrate that with my inclusion of "party atmosphere" in both categories. For many passengers the party atmosphere is actually a draw to to cruising. This is particularly true among a younger demographic, and warm weather cruises that focus on (but not necessarily limited to) the caribbean, the Gulf of Mexico, and the Baha Peninsula. According to NCL’s former CEO, Colin Veitch, “The thing that’s attractive about bigger ships is you have more choice and variety on board,” he said. “We make a lot more money on them. Ticket revenue and on-board revenue is dramatically higher on larger ships than on smaller, older ships.”
To be sure there are ships with less than 4,000 capacity being built, but they are fewer and further between
FOR OTHERS, though, it will be considered a reason to avoid particular ships. We began cruising in our 50's and our view of cruising is more traditional and would be comfortably within the non-party atmosphere demographic (And of course, it is certainly possible to have a party atmosphere on smaller ships). There are cruisers who want to be pampered and have specialty meals, butlers, and exclusive environments. They are generally well served by either the "exclusive" areas being offered by some of the mainline ships, or by the higher-end, much smaller ships that offer a premium experience (at, of course, a premium price).
WE TEND to fall in between. In our late 60's, our week-long party experiences are well behind us. I do recall the New Year's celebration on the Celebrity Apex in the Caribbean back in December/January of this year. It was a lot of fun. It also confirmed to me that one night was all I really wanted of that. Our idea of an enjoyable cruise is good food, good cocktail venues, nice weather (when possible), good shows and comedians, but above all others, a good itinerary (though it has developed over time that the Caribbean itineray matters much less to us than the weather and ship's amenities). An onboard amusement park atmosphere, with things like climbing walls, bumper cars, rollercosters, surf simulators and such are pretty much a non-starter for us. We prefer a more "chill" and relaxing atmosphere. We have never cruised with young children, and that might make a difference. I can see us, for example, taking our now 5-year-old grandson on a Disney Cruise. But that wouldn't really be for us. it would be for him.
Our idea of an enjoyable cruise is good food, good cocktail venues, nice weather (when possible), good shows and comedians, but above all others, a good itinerary
AS I have noted here in the past, our "sweet spot" ship size has been the medium-sized 2,000 - 3,000 passenger ship. Interestingly, RCL seems to be embracing both the megaship concept and continuing (albeit with their wholly-owned subsidiary: Celebrity) the medium ships, with their Edge class, which is kind of our "Goldilocks" ship.
WHETHER THEY should be continuing to produce megaships, or not, it is clear that they plan to do so. As of this writing there are close to a dozen ships pushing the 6,000 passenger envelope through 2028. There are nearly as many in the 4,000 passenger range. To be sure there are ships with less than 4,000 capacity being built, but they are fewer and further between. I would be interested to hear your thoughts. Big, medium, or small ship?